University of Michigan
Abstract
Problem definition: Transportation terminals such as airports often
experience persistent oversupply of idle ride-sourcing drivers, resulting in
long driver waiting times and inducing externalities such as curbside
congestion. While platforms now employ virtual queues with control levers like
dynamic pricing, information provision, and direct admission control to manage
this issue, all existing levers involve significant trade-offs and side
effects. This limitation highlights the need for an alternative management
approach. Methodology/results: We develop a queueing-theoretic framework to
model ride-sourcing operations at terminals and propose a novel lottery-based
control mechanism for the virtual queue. This non-monetary strategy works by
probabilistically assigning a driver's entry position. By directly influencing
their expected waiting time, the mechanism in turn shapes their decision to
join the queue. We reformulate the resulting infinite-dimensional, non-smooth
optimization into a tractable bi-level program by leveraging the threshold
structure of the equilibrium. Theoretically, we prove that the lottery
mechanism can achieve higher or equal social welfare than FIFO-queue-based
dynamic pricing. Numerical experiments in unconstrained markets show that in
profit maximization, our approach only narrowly trails dynamic pricing and
significantly outperforms static pricing. Furthermore, it is shown that under
commission fee caps, the lottery mechanism can surpass dynamic pricing in
profitability. Implications: This study introduces a new, non-monetary lever
for managing idle ride-sourcing drivers at transportation terminals. By
aligning operational practices with queue-based dynamics, the proposed lottery
mechanism offers a robust and implementable alternative to pricing-based
approaches, with advantages in both unconstrained and regulated markets.