Abstract
There are inefficiencies in financial markets, with unexploited patterns in
price, volume, and cross-sectional relationships. While many approaches use
large-scale transformers, we take a domain-focused path: feed-forward and
recurrent networks with curated features to capture subtle regularities in
noisy financial data. This smaller-footprint design is computationally lean and
reliable under low signal-to-noise, crucial for daily production at scale. At
Increase Alpha, we built a deep-learning framework that maps over 800 U.S.
equities into daily directional signals with minimal computational overhead.
The purpose of this paper is twofold. First, we outline the general overview
of the predictive model without disclosing its core underlying concepts.
Second, we evaluate its real-time performance through transparent, industry
standard metrics. Forecast accuracy is benchmarked against both naive baselines
and macro indicators. The performance outcomes are summarized via cumulative
returns, annualized Sharpe ratio, and maximum drawdown. The best portfolio
combination using our signals provides a low-risk, continuous stream of returns
with a Sharpe ratio of more than 2.5, maximum drawdown of around 3\%, and a
near-zero correlation with the S\&P 500 market benchmark. We also compare the
model's performance through different market regimes, such as the recent
volatile movements of the US equity market in the beginning of 2025. Our
analysis showcases the robustness of the model and significantly stable
performance during these volatile periods.
Collectively, these findings show that market inefficiencies can be
systematically harvested with modest computational overhead if the right
variables are considered. This report will emphasize the potential of
traditional deep learning frameworks for generating an AI-driven edge in the
financial market.