Abstract
In recent years, breakthroughs in artificial intelligence (AI) technology
have triggered global industrial transformations, with applications permeating
various fields such as finance, healthcare, education, and manufacturing.
However, this rapid iteration is accompanied by irrational development, where
enterprises blindly invest due to technology hype, often overlooking systematic
value assessments. This paper develops a multi-dimensional evaluation model
that integrates information theory's entropy reduction principle, economics'
bounded rationality framework, and psychology's irrational decision theories to
quantify AI product value. Key factors include positive dimensions (e.g.,
uncertainty elimination, efficiency gains, cost savings, decision quality
improvement) and negative risks (e.g., error probability, impact, and
correction costs). A non-linear formula captures factor couplings, and
validation through 10 commercial cases demonstrates the model's effectiveness
in distinguishing successful and failed products, supporting hypotheses on
synergistic positive effects, non-linear negative impacts, and interactive
regulations. Results reveal value generation logic, offering enterprises tools
to avoid blind investments and promote rational AI industry development. Future
directions include adaptive weights, dynamic mechanisms, and extensions to
emerging AI technologies like generative models.
Abstract
Autonomous trading strategies have been a subject of research within the
field of artificial intelligence (AI) for aconsiderable period. Various AI
techniques have been explored to develop autonomous agents capable of trading
financial assets. These approaches encompass traditional methods such as neural
networks, fuzzy logic, and reinforcement learning, as well as more recent
advancements, including deep neural networks and deep reinforcement learning.
Many developers report success in creating strategies that exhibit strong
performance during simulations using historical price data, a process commonly
referred to as backtesting. However, when these strategies are deployed in real
markets, their performance often deteriorates, particularly in terms of
risk-adjusted returns. In this study, we propose an AI-based strategy inspired
by a classical investment paradigm: Value Investing. Financial AI models are
highly susceptible to lookahead bias and other forms of bias that can
significantly inflate performance in backtesting compared to live trading
conditions. To address this issue, we conducted a series of computational
simulations while controlling for these biases, thereby reducing the risk of
overfitting. Our results indicate that the proposed approach outperforms major
Brazilian market benchmarks. Moreover, the strategy, named AlphaX, demonstrated
superior performance relative to widely used technical indicators such as the
Relative Strength Index (RSI) and Money Flow Index (MFI), with statistically
significant results. Finally, we discuss several open challenges and highlight
emerging technologies in qualitative analysis that may contribute to the
development of a comprehensive AI-based Value Investing framework in the future